The COVID-19 pandemic exhibits different characteristics in each country, related to the extent of SARS-CoV-2 local transmission, as well as the speed and effectiveness of epidemic response implemented by authorities. This study presents a descriptive epidemiological analysis of the daily and cumulative incidence of confirmed cases and deaths in Cuba from COVID-19 in the first 110 days after first-case confirmation on March 11, 2020. During this period, 2340 cases (20.7 x 100,000 population) were confirmed, of which 86 patients died (case fatality 3.67%; 52 men and 34 women). Mean age of the deceased was 73.6 years (with a minimum of 35 years and a maximum of 101), with the average age of men lower than that of women. More than 70% of all deceased had associated noncommunicable diseases. The incidence curve ascended for five weeks and then descended steadily. The average number of confirmed cases and deaths for the last week included (June 23–28, 2020) were 25 and 1 respectively; the curve always moved within the most favorable forecast zone of available mathematical models and the effective reproductive number fell below 1 after the fifth week following the onset of the epidemic.

We present the prevention and control measures implemented during this period—some unique to Cuba—and assess their effectiveness using two analytical tools: comparison of observed deaths and confirmed cases with those predicted by mathematical models; and estimation of the effective reproductive rate of SARS-CoV-2. Some distinctive features of this strategy include nationwide door-to-door active screening for individuals with fever and/or symptoms of respiratory distress, isolation of cases and quarantine of contacts of confirmed cases and of persons suspected of having the virus. During this period, Cuba’s response to the epidemic was successful in flattening the curve and limiting transmission, resulting in fewer cases and a lower number of subsequent deaths.

KEYWORDS COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, epidemiology, pandemic, emerging infectious disease, contact tracing, patient isolation, Cuba

INTRODUCTION Reference values for liver stiffness for healthy individuals vary worldwide. Different optimal cutoff values correspond to the stages of fibrosis in chronic liver disease.

OBJECTIVES Characterize the distribution of liver stiffness in Cuban adults without liver disease and its association with age, serum uric acid and body mass index.

METHODS A cross-sectional study was performed of 110 plasma donors recruited from the Havana Province Blood Bank January 2016 through February 2017. Measurements of liver stiffness were performed using a FibroScan elastography device on the same day of laboratory analyses and abdominal ultrasound. The Pearson coefficient was used to assess correlations, and the reference range was calculated using the mean and its 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS Liver stiffness values observed ranged from 2.2–6.3 kPa. The reference range (95% CI) for the 110 subjects without known liver disease was 4.2–4.6 kPa (mean 4.4). A positive correlation was observed between liver stiffness measurements and body mass index (r = 0.255, p <0.01) and serum uric acid (r = 0.266, p <0.01). There was no correlation between liver stiffness and age. Liver stiffness in women was similar to that of men, 4.3 (2.4–6.1) and 4.5 (2.2–6.3) kPa, respectively (p = 0.086).

CONCLUSIONS Liver stiffness in Cuban adults without liver disease ranges from 2.2–6.3 kPa. The reference range is 4.2–4.6 kPa. Body mass index and serum uric acid levels are positively associated with liver stiffness.

KEYWORDS Liver disease, liver fibrosis, hepatic cirrhosis, hepatic fibrosis, diagnostic imaging, elastography, sonoelastography, elasticity imaging techniques, tissue elasticity imaging, technology assessment, Cuba

CONTRIBUTION OF THIS RESEARCH This is the first Cuban study using FibroScan to measure liver stiffness; its results will enable better assessment of liver disease in clinical practice.

INTRODUCTION Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, traditionally performed in Cuba in specialized hospitals, was decentralized to the primary health care level in 2004 to make it more patient-accessible.

OBJECTIVES Describe frequency and distribution of the principal symptomatic diseases of the upper gastrointestinal tract and their relation to the main risk factors associated with each in a sample of urban adults who underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy in primary care facilities in Havana in selected months of 2007.

METHODS A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted, including 3556 patients seen in the primary health care network of Havana from May through November 2007. The endoscopies were performed at the 22 polyclinics (community health centers) providing this service. Diagnostic quality and accuracy were assessed by experienced gastroenterologists using a validated tool. Patients responded to a questionnaire with clinical, epidemiologic, and sociodemographic variables. Univariate and multivariate analyses (unconditional logistical regression) were used to identify associated risk factors. The significance level was set at p < 0.05 (or confidence interval excluding 1.0).

RESULTS The diagnoses were: gastritis (91.6%), duodenitis (57.8%), hiatal hernia (46.5%), esophagitis (25.2%), duodenal ulcer (15.8%), gastric ulcer (6.2%) and malignant-appearing lesions (0.4%). Overall prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection was 58.4%. The main risk factors for duodenal ulcer were H. pylori infection (OR 2.70, CI 2.17–3.36) and smoking (OR 2.08, CI 1.68–2.58); and for gastric ulcer, H. pylori (OR 1.58, CI 1.17–2.15) and age ≥60 years (OR 1.78, CI 1.28–2.47). H. pylori infection was the main risk factor for gastritis (OR 2.29, CI 1.79–2.95) and duodenitis (OR 1.58, CI 1.38–1.82); and age ≥40 years for hiatal hernia (OR 1.57, CI 1.33–1.84). External evaluation was “very good” or “good” for 99.3% of endoscopic procedures and 97.9% of reports issued.

CONCLUSIONS Gastrointestinal endoscopy performed in primary care yielded high quality results and important information about prevalence of the most common diseases of the upper GI tract and associated risk factors. This study provides a reference for new research and can inform objective recommendations for community-based interventions to prevent and control these diseases. The existence of a network of universally accessible diagnostic endoscopy services at the primary care level, will contribute to conducting further research.

KEYWORDS Endoscopy, gastrointestinal diseases, upper GI tract, prevalence, risk factors, primary care, Cuba